Banca de DEFESA: NATHALIA LAVINIA FARIAS DE ARAUJO

Uma banca de DEFESA de MESTRADO foi cadastrada pelo programa.
STUDENT : NATHALIA LAVINIA FARIAS DE ARAUJO
DATE: 09/02/2024
TIME: 10:00
LOCAL: Faculdade de Economia, Administração e Contabildiade
TITLE:

IMPACT EVALUATION OF SECURITY POLICIES: THE CASE OF THE PAID VOLUNTEER SERVICE PROGRAM - TASK FORCE IN THE STATE OF ALAGOAS

KEY WORDS:

Public policies, Synthetic control, Task Force Program, Alagoas.

PAGES: 72
BIG AREA: Ciências Sociais Aplicadas
AREA: Economia
SUBÁREA: Economia Regional e Urbana
SPECIALTY: Economia Regional
SUMMARY:

The government of the State of Alagoas, in 2014, enacted the law that created the Remunerated Voluntary Service Program, which aimed primarily at reducing the number of homicides through the promotion of a culture of peace in the state and integration with other measures that bring greater security to the population. That said, the objective of this work is to evaluate the impact of the program popularly known as Task Force, on homicide indicators. The strategy for conducting the analysis will follow the synthetic control methodology, in pursuit of obtaining a counterfactual for this indicator, estimating in turn, the impact of the program. Data were extracted from microdata produced by the Pesquisa Nacional por Amostra de Domicílios Contínua (Pnadc), by the Atlas da Violência from Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (Ipea), and through the databases of Sistema de Informação sobre Mortalidade (SIM - DATASUS), between the period of 2010 to 2021, aiming to analyze the trajectory of the variables of interest. The results show that, if the Task Force Program had not been implemented, the trajectory of the number of homicides would have continued on a trend of steep growth. In a long-term analysis, there is a decrease of over 50.02% in homicides between 2014 and 2021, in contrast with the projection of synthetic control, which showed a smaller reduction, about 17.06%. It is estimated that with the implementation of the program, 4,086 lives have been saved. Therefore, evidence has been found that the said policy has been successful in what it proposed, reducing the increasing trajectory of the number of homicides, showing that the adopted public policy can be effective in reducing violent crimes, which does not exempt the need for monitoring of these data so that the policy continues to yield positive results.

COMMITTEE MEMBERS:
Presidente - 1623372 - KEULER HISSA TEIXEIRA
Interno(a) - 1870794 - ANDERSON MOREIRA ARISTIDES DOS SANTOS
Externo(a) à Instituição - ANA CAROLINA DA CRUZ LIMA - UFRJ