THE IMPACT OF THE BOLSA FAMÍLIA PROGRAM ON MIGRATION IN ALAGOAS, MARANHÃO AND PIAUÍ
Keywords: Migration. Family Scholarship Program. PSM.
This work sought to investigate how the Bolsa Família Program - PBF impacted migration, long-term migration and return migration, focusing on each of the three poorest states in Brazil (Alagoas, Maranhão and Piauí). Making use of microdata from the 2010 Population Census, submitted to the Propensity Score Matching method – PSM for the nearest neighbor algorithms, five nearest neighbors, Inverse-probability-weighted regression adjustment – IPWRA and Ordinary Least Squares – OLS. The study showed that PBF negatively impacts migration, in addition to positively stimulating long-term migration and return migration. To verify the robustness of the observed results, the research performed the Mantel-Haenszel test and the Oster approach (2015). Finally, an additional analysis was also carried out investigating the impact of the PBF on individuals in rural and urban areas separately, which presented different results.