Banca de DEFESA: DAYVISSON SOARES DA SILVA

AFFECTIVE MEMORY IN THE 2022 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION: Analysis of retrospective economic voting in Brazilian municipalities

Retrospective economic voting refers to the tendency of voters to evaluate incumbents or political parties based on their observed economic performance during their term in office. This assessment often occurs at the time of an election and influences the voter's decision about re-electing the incumbent or voter for another candidate or party. The research proposal that we intend to carry out consists of an analysis of the result of the second round of the 2022 Brazilian presidential election, from the perspective of retrospective economic voting, using the multiple regression model with panel data collected by municipality. The work methodology also includes a systematic literature review, showing in an organized way the steps for the final formulation of the project. The study shows that there is a strong relationship between poverty reduction and electoral accessibility, showing that the Brazilian electorate tends to use some economic variable to decide your choice at the polls.